Markets are finding hard to keep moving up, but are not falling dow either. VIX is at its lows yet making really hard to get decent premiums in new positions
SPX is +6.85% and RUT +8.88% YTD 2016. Very decent returns. On the other hand my Bellini portfolio is down -1.938%
In ten days time looks like I will receive full credit on the CCS 2250/75, and the Oct 2275/2230 looks safe for the time being.
Looking to the SPX and RUT looks like is finding some resistance although I believe 2300 will be touch sooner than later.
I would like to exploring opening positions on SPX 1950/2350 IC zones, but due to low ViX I would have to look further on time strikes. On RUT looking strikes 1100/1350
domingo, 21 de agosto de 2016
domingo, 14 de agosto de 2016
Weekly Portfolio Analysis 14th August 2016
After 3 weeks badly manageing the Sep 2225/50 CS finally stopped out at 6.70.
Portfolio Bellini YTD has a negative -2.233% performance 2016, wide behind major indices.
Markets did not move much this summer week. With VIX on very low zones makes difficult to sell Spreads, but will try and find well OTM to get some return this year.
Next Friday we would, hopefully, get full premium on the RUT CS 1270/80 and end of month hopefully the CS 2250/75
SPX still look very bullish and aiming to 2300
Portfolio Bellini YTD has a negative -2.233% performance 2016, wide behind major indices.
Markets did not move much this summer week. With VIX on very low zones makes difficult to sell Spreads, but will try and find well OTM to get some return this year.
Next Friday we would, hopefully, get full premium on the RUT CS 1270/80 and end of month hopefully the CS 2250/75
SPX still look very bullish and aiming to 2300
domingo, 7 de agosto de 2016
Weekly portfolio Analysis 6th August 2016
It should have been a good week releasing all the pressure on the Call Spreads. However I did not react to the bearish movement on Tuesday, then 2045 support moved the SPX to its highest zones ever.
So the positions are same as last week, with more pressure
i should have closed the september CS with very low damage but didnt, so i will pay the price this week
$VIX is in a ridiculous low level, but markets have no intention of taking a breath.
$SPX looking to reach 2300 shortly
So the positions are same as last week, with more pressure
i should have closed the september CS with very low damage but didnt, so i will pay the price this week
$VIX is in a ridiculous low level, but markets have no intention of taking a breath.
$SPX looking to reach 2300 shortly
sábado, 30 de julio de 2016
Weekly Portfolio Analysis 30th July 2016
Very strange week for the SPX, moving in a narrow range from 2154 to 2170. There is no apparent reason for the markets to fall. The markets look bullish.
Despite this sentiment, still with the same last week positions, all bearish.
The SPX 2225/50 is my biggest concern, just 2.45% of being in the money and Delta 25. I promised to close it last week and didnt, Always that wrong sense the markets have to correct, they will but not when I want.
That must be my trading plan for the week. Close the CS acept the losses and add a new further OTM in order to minimise the loss.
Vix at 11 made another very low level
Despite this sentiment, still with the same last week positions, all bearish.
The SPX 2225/50 is my biggest concern, just 2.45% of being in the money and Delta 25. I promised to close it last week and didnt, Always that wrong sense the markets have to correct, they will but not when I want.
That must be my trading plan for the week. Close the CS acept the losses and add a new further OTM in order to minimise the loss.
Vix at 11 made another very low level
domingo, 24 de julio de 2016
Weekly Portfolio Analysis 24th july 2016
Keep calm and carry on bullish. Markets dont give us any sign of bearishness.Our Call Spreads are bleeding and adjustments are now a must.
SPX has a good +6.41% YTD and RTY is +6.78%. Bellini keeps on -0.536% for not much longer tho.
According to the Delatas and distance to the market levels our positions are in danger terrotory.
August16
2 SPX CS 2250/2275 at 1.8 with 9 Deltas and 39days to expiry. Close Watching
5 RUT CS 1270/80 at 0.95 with 10 Deltas and 35 days to expiry. Close watching
September16
2 SPX 2225/2250 at 1.95 with 28 Deltas need an adjustment, thinking on selling CS 2300/25 at 1.90 to erase the losses
Octuber16
2 SPX 2275/2300 at 1.9 with 18 Deltas need a very close watching.
SPX is crying for a retracement to keep a healthy upside, but who knows what the future holds
SPX has a good +6.41% YTD and RTY is +6.78%. Bellini keeps on -0.536% for not much longer tho.
According to the Delatas and distance to the market levels our positions are in danger terrotory.
August16
2 SPX CS 2250/2275 at 1.8 with 9 Deltas and 39days to expiry. Close Watching
5 RUT CS 1270/80 at 0.95 with 10 Deltas and 35 days to expiry. Close watching
September16
2 SPX 2225/2250 at 1.95 with 28 Deltas need an adjustment, thinking on selling CS 2300/25 at 1.90 to erase the losses
Octuber16
2 SPX 2275/2300 at 1.9 with 18 Deltas need a very close watching.
SPX is crying for a retracement to keep a healthy upside, but who knows what the future holds
domingo, 10 de julio de 2016
Weekly Porfolio Analysis 9th July 2016
As expected markets went up strongly. SP500 closes at 2.129 and Russell2000 at 1,177.
Bellini portfolio still -0.536%, doing worst than the benchmark SPX +4.210%, but recovering from begining of year losses.
I entered two new bearish trades this week, as I considered markets were on oversold condition
Although the SEP call spread were nor executed at the strike expected, as it was 2250/75 but mistakes happens.
Now this September Call Spread lookes a bit stressed with 15 deltas.
All the remaining positions looking OK with less than 10 Deltas
$VIX fell sharply indicating the fears are out after the stong NFP, however we are yet on resistance and either a move up and then a pullback or some movement down would be expected next week.
sábado, 2 de julio de 2016
Weekly Portfolio Analysis 2nd July 2016
Surpricingly markets went up for the week, USA almost gaining all the Brexit losses. SPX gained 3.22% on the week and is now in positive territoru in 2016 + 2.89.
June expirations is over and I added 1.203% to our performance receiving full premium on the SPX 2175/2200.
On top of that I closed earler the SPX 2200/2225 july 30th at 0.4 originally sold at 2.5 so adding another 1.31% to the portfolio.
Currently only opened August CS
July 30th SPX 2 2250/2275 sold at 1.8 Delta 3 and 60 days to expiry
July 19th RUT 1270/1280 sold at 0.95 Delta 4 and 48 days to expiry
Markets are gaining upside momentum with VIX returning to low levels
SPX is on the long resistance over past few months, not right time to open PS and also think if the levels are broken we could see further movements up.
June expirations is over and I added 1.203% to our performance receiving full premium on the SPX 2175/2200.
On top of that I closed earler the SPX 2200/2225 july 30th at 0.4 originally sold at 2.5 so adding another 1.31% to the portfolio.
Currently only opened August CS
July 30th SPX 2 2250/2275 sold at 1.8 Delta 3 and 60 days to expiry
July 19th RUT 1270/1280 sold at 0.95 Delta 4 and 48 days to expiry
Markets are gaining upside momentum with VIX returning to low levels
SPX is on the long resistance over past few months, not right time to open PS and also think if the levels are broken we could see further movements up.
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